Arizona
W-L: (17-36) PR = 93.8234Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 7-10 214 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 6- 7 215 A Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 1- 4 218 A Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 1- 5 219 A Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 4- 6 220 A St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 0- 1 221 H UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 5- 4 222 H UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 2-11 227 A Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 2- 7 228 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 5- 1 301 H UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 7- 1 303 A Pacific WC (23-30, 92.4) 5-11 306 A Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 6- 7 307 H Fresno State MW ( 9-14, 93.3) 9- 5 308 H Fresno State MW ( 9-14, 93.3) 14- 4 310 A Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 4-10 313 A Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 8- 6 314 A Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 6- 7 315 A Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 7- 8 317 H New Mexico MW ( 5- 5, 93.5) 3- 6 320 H Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 5- 9 321 A BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 14- 1 322 H Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 10-12 324 H Grand Canyon MW (11-16, 93.1) 5- 4 327 A UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 6-11 328 A UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 3-13 329 A UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 2- 3 331 H West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 4- 7 402 H Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 4- 6 403 H Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 7- 4 404 H Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 6-15 409 A Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 13- 9 410 H Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 4-13 411 A TCU B12 (32-21, 95.9) 0- 5 411 A TCU B12 (32-21, 95.9) 3- 2 413 A Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 5- 3 417 H Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 1- 2 418 H Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 1-11 419 H Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 11- 7 423 H BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 6- 0 424 H BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 1- 5 425 H BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 4- 8 428 A Grand Canyon MW (11-16, 93.1) 8- 9 501 A Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 2- 4 502 A Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 2- 7 503 A Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 5-11 506 H New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 8- 6 508 H Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 4- 7 509 H Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 5- 7 510 H Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 6- 5 514 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 7- 5 515 H Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 1-10 516 A Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 5- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Stanford 7-10 -3 0 - -2.94
214 A Oregon State 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.13
215 A Michigan 1- 4 -3 -3 -0.31
218 A Cal Poly 1- 5 -4 -2 -1.85
219 A Seattle U 4- 6 -2 2 -- -4.42
221 H UConn 5- 4 1 0 0.86
222 H UConn 2-11 -9 0 --- -9.14
227 A Oregon 2- 7 -5 -4 -1.03
228 A Vanderbilt 5- 1 4 -4 +++ 7.98
301 H UC Irvine 7- 1 6 0 ++ 5.83
303 A Pacific 5-11 -6 1 --- -6.74
306 A Austin Peay 6- 7 -1 0 -1.39
307 H Fresno State 9- 5 4 1 + 2.77
308 H Fresno State 14- 4 10 1 +++ 8.77
310 A Arizona State 4-10 -6 -4 -1.51
313 A Utah 8- 6 2 -2 + 3.66
314 A Utah 6- 7 -1 -2 0.66
315 A Utah 7- 8 -1 -2 0.66
317 H New Mexico 3- 6 -3 1 -- -4.01
320 H Texas Tech 5- 9 -4 -1 - -2.71
321 A BYU 14- 1 13 -2 +++ 14.60
322 H Texas Tech 10-12 -2 -1 -0.71
324 H Grand Canyon 5- 4 1 1 -0.41
327 A UCF 6-11 -5 -3 - -2.15
328 A UCF 3-13 -10 -3 --- -7.15
329 A UCF 2- 3 -1 -3 1.85
331 H West Virginia 4- 7 -3 -4 0.65
402 H Arizona State 4- 6 -2 -3 1.14
403 H Arizona State 7- 4 3 -3 +++ 6.14
404 H Arizona State 6-15 -9 -3 -- -5.86
409 A Cal State Northridge 13- 9 4 0 ++ 4.48
410 H Illinois 4-13 -9 -1 --- -8.35
411 A TCU 0- 5 -5 -3 - -2.22
411 A TCU 3- 2 1 -3 + 3.78
413 A Arizona State 5- 3 2 -4 +++ 6.49
417 H Kansas State 1- 2 -1 -2 1.12
418 H Kansas State 1-11 -10 -2 --- -7.88
419 H Kansas State 11- 7 4 -2 +++ 6.12
423 H BYU 6- 0 6 0 +++ 6.25
424 H BYU 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.75
425 H BYU 4- 8 -4 0 - -3.75
428 A Grand Canyon 8- 9 -1 0 -1.06
501 A Kansas 2- 4 -2 -4 1.99
502 A Kansas 2- 7 -5 -4 -1.01
503 A Kansas 5-11 -6 -4 - -2.01
506 H New Mexico State 8- 6 2 2 0.38
508 H Houston 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.90
509 H Houston 5- 7 -2 0 -1.90
510 H Houston 6- 5 1 0 1.10
514 H Texas State 7- 5 2 -1 + 2.52
515 H Southern Miss 1-10 -9 -2 --- -6.87
516 A Oklahoma State 5- 7 -2 -4 + 2.10
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 H UConn 2-11 -9 0 --- -9.14 303 A Pacific 5-11 -6 1 --- -6.74 328 A UCF 3-13 -10 -3 --- -7.15 410 H Illinois 4-13 -9 -1 --- -8.35 418 H Kansas State 1-11 -10 -2 --- -7.88 515 H Southern Miss 1-10 -9 -2 --- -6.87 219 A Seattle U 4- 6 -2 2 -- -4.42 317 H New Mexico 3- 6 -3 1 -- -4.01 404 H Arizona State 6-15 -9 -3 -- -5.86 213 H Stanford 7-10 -3 0 - -2.94 320 H Texas Tech 5- 9 -4 -1 - -2.71 327 A UCF 6-11 -5 -3 - -2.15 411 A TCU 0- 5 -5 -3 - -2.22 424 H BYU 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.75 425 H BYU 4- 8 -4 0 - -3.75 503 A Kansas 5-11 -6 -4 - -2.01 508 H Houston 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.90 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Vanderbilt 5- 1 4 -4 +++ 7.98 308 H Fresno State 14- 4 10 1 +++ 8.77 321 A BYU 14- 1 13 -2 +++ 14.60 403 H Arizona State 7- 4 3 -3 +++ 6.14 413 A Arizona State 5- 3 2 -4 +++ 6.49 419 H Kansas State 11- 7 4 -2 +++ 6.12 423 H BYU 6- 0 6 0 +++ 6.25 301 H UC Irvine 7- 1 6 0 ++ 5.83 409 A Cal State Northridge 13- 9 4 0 ++ 4.48 214 A Oregon State 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.13 307 H Fresno State 9- 5 4 1 + 2.77 313 A Utah 8- 6 2 -2 + 3.66 411 A TCU 3- 2 1 -3 + 3.78 514 H Texas State 7- 5 2 -1 + 2.52 516 A Oklahoma State 5- 7 -2 -4 + 2.10 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 7-10 -5.34 13.08 -0.68 0.55 -1.64
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 6- 7 -3.62 14.80 0.68 0.55 -0.80
3 A Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 1- 4 -4.07 14.36 0.68 0.55 -0.92
3 A Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 1- 5 -4.60 13.83 0.68 0.55 -1.07
3 A Seattle U (16-31, 90.7) 4- 6 -9.17 9.26 0.68 0.55 -2.32
3 A St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 0- 1 -5.75 12.68 0.68 0.55 -1.38
3 H UConn (28-29, 94.4) 5- 4 -5.54 12.88 -0.68 0.55 13.32
3 H UConn (28-29, 94.4) 2-11 -5.54 12.88 -0.68 0.55 -1.70
3 A Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 2- 7 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.55 -0.57
3 A Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 5- 1 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.55 17.82
3 H UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 7- 1 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.55 13.29
3 A Pacific (23-30, 92.4) 5-11 -7.50 10.93 0.68 0.55 -1.86
3 A Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 6- 7 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.55 -1.76
3 H Fresno State ( 9-14, 93.3) 9- 5 -6.63 11.79 -0.68 0.55 12.13
3 H Fresno State ( 9-14, 93.3) 14- 4 -6.63 11.79 -0.68 0.55 12.13
3 A Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 4-10 -2.26 16.17 0.68 0.55 -0.43
3 A Utah (25-26, 94.8) 8- 6 -5.09 13.33 0.68 0.55 15.29
3 A Utah (25-26, 94.8) 6- 7 -5.09 13.33 0.68 0.55 -1.21
3 A Utah (25-26, 94.8) 7- 8 -5.09 13.33 0.68 0.55 -1.21
3 H New Mexico ( 5- 5, 93.5) 3- 6 -6.41 12.02 -0.68 0.55 -1.93
3 H Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 5- 9 -4.11 14.32 -0.68 0.55 -1.30
3 A BYU (28-27, 94.7) 14- 1 -5.15 13.28 0.68 0.55 15.23
3 H Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 10-12 -4.11 14.32 -0.68 0.55 -1.30
3 H Grand Canyon (11-16, 93.1) 5- 4 -6.81 11.62 -0.68 0.55 11.94
3 A UCF (29-26, 96.0) 6-11 -3.91 14.52 0.68 0.55 -0.88
3 A UCF (29-26, 96.0) 3-13 -3.91 14.52 0.68 0.55 -0.88
3 A UCF (29-26, 96.0) 2- 3 -3.91 14.52 0.68 0.55 -0.88
3 H West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 4- 7 -1.75 16.68 -0.68 0.55 -0.66
3 H Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 4- 6 -2.26 16.17 -0.68 0.55 -0.80
3 H Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 7- 4 -2.26 16.17 -0.68 0.55 16.91
3 H Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 6-15 -2.26 16.17 -0.68 0.55 -0.80
3 A Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 13- 9 -6.27 12.16 0.68 0.55 14.01
3 H Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 4-13 -4.75 13.67 -0.68 0.55 -1.48
3 A TCU (32-21, 95.9) 0- 5 -3.97 14.45 0.68 0.55 -0.90
3 A TCU (32-21, 95.9) 3- 2 -3.97 14.45 0.68 0.55 16.51
3 A Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 5- 3 -2.26 16.17 0.68 0.55 18.38
3 H Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 1- 2 -3.28 15.14 -0.68 0.55 -1.08
3 H Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 1-11 -3.28 15.14 -0.68 0.55 -1.08
3 H Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 11- 7 -3.28 15.14 -0.68 0.55 15.79
3 H BYU (28-27, 94.7) 6- 0 -5.15 13.28 -0.68 0.55 13.75
3 H BYU (28-27, 94.7) 1- 5 -5.15 13.28 -0.68 0.55 -1.59
3 H BYU (28-27, 94.7) 4- 8 -5.15 13.28 -0.68 0.55 -1.59
3 A Grand Canyon (11-16, 93.1) 8- 9 -6.81 11.62 0.68 0.55 -1.67
3 A Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 2- 4 -2.76 15.66 0.68 0.55 -0.57
3 A Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 2- 7 -2.76 15.66 0.68 0.55 -0.57
3 A Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 5-11 -2.76 15.66 0.68 0.55 -0.57
3 H New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 8- 6 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.55 11.71
3 H Houston (23-28, 94.6) 4- 7 -5.30 13.12 -0.68 0.55 -1.63
3 H Houston (23-28, 94.6) 5- 7 -5.30 13.12 -0.68 0.55 -1.63
3 H Houston (23-28, 94.6) 6- 5 -5.30 13.12 -0.68 0.55 13.58
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 7- 5 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 0.55 14.04
3 H Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 1-10 -3.27 15.15 -0.68 0.55 -1.08
3 A Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 5- 7 -2.66 15.77 0.68 0.55 -0.54
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203.53
|
winning pts = 245.8430 losing points = -42.3095
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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